Starbucks has been hitting the
headlines for all the wrong reasons recently. First up was the news that the
company has paid corporation tax only once in 15 years of operating in the U.K.
This has seemingly been achieved by making royalty payments, and the like, to
parts of the business in lower tax jurisdictions. Customers, taxpayers, and the
tabloid media were suitably annoyed. Starbucks’ response was to say that it
would ‘voluntarily’ pay £20 million in tax over the next two years. The thought
of Starbucks ‘volunteering’ to pay tax seems to have aggravated rather than
calmed the situation! On Saturday, tax avoidance campaigners protested outside
a number of stores forcing some to temporarily close.
Starbucks is certainly not
alone in avoiding tax - Amazon and Google also usually get a mention. And they
are certainly not the first company to ‘annoy’ customers on fairness grounds. For
example, an accusation even more damaging than that of tax avoidance is one of
using forced labour. The latest accusations came in June when a report by
Anti-slavery International claimed that many U.K. high street retailers such as
Tesco and Marks and Spencer were selling clothes made by girls working under
slave conditions in India. Customers didn’t like this news much either. More
generally, customers seem to rebel against any company ‘not playing fair’.
Making sense of this is
difficult if you rely on the standard economic textbook. Fairness is not
supposed to matter. Seemingly it does. So, how can we put fairness into the mix?
Let’s start with a diagram that should
be familiar to anyone who has done a bit of microeconomics.
Suppose that the demand for Starbucks coffee is given by curve D. The textbook story is then as follows: We derive Starbucks marginal revenue curve (MR) and their marginal cost curve (MC). Starbucks maximizes profit by finding the point where marginal revenue equals marginal cost MR = MC. So, they should charge £4.00 for a cup of coffee. The last cup of coffee they make costs them £0.75 and so they make £3.15 profit on this. Overall, their average costs (AC) are £1.00 and so they make a profit of £3.00 on every cup of coffee sold.
Suppose that the demand for Starbucks coffee is given by curve D. The textbook story is then as follows: We derive Starbucks marginal revenue curve (MR) and their marginal cost curve (MC). Starbucks maximizes profit by finding the point where marginal revenue equals marginal cost MR = MC. So, they should charge £4.00 for a cup of coffee. The last cup of coffee they make costs them £0.75 and so they make £3.15 profit on this. Overall, their average costs (AC) are £1.00 and so they make a profit of £3.00 on every cup of coffee sold.
Let’s take a step back at this
point, and revaluate. We know the last customer is willing to pay up to £4.00
for a cup of coffee. We also know Starbucks makes a profit if it charges more
than £1.00 for a cup of coffee. So, any price between £1.00 and £4.00 benefits
both the customer and Starbucks. This leads to what Game theorists call a
bargaining problem. The important question, is what price the customer and
Starbucks shall ‘agree’ on? The textbook answer to the question is simple:
Starbucks can ask for £4.00 and the customer will pay it. Reality may be
somewhat different.
In particular, research on the
ultimatum game suggests that customers are unlikely to be willing to pay £4.00.
In the ultimatum game a ‘proposer’ makes an offer of how to split, say, £3.00.
The ‘receiver’ can then either accept the offer or reject. If he rejects the
offer no deal is done. In the Starbucks example there is a £3.00 surplus (£4.00
– 1.00) to be bargained over. Starbucks sets the price for a cup of coffee,
which is an offer of how to split the surplus, and the customer can either
accept the offer by buying the coffee, or reject and not buy the coffee.
Many people in the ultimatum
game reject ‘unfair’ offers. Someone, for instance, offered 10 pence out of
£3.00 may reject the offer. Similarly, someone charged £3.90 for a cup of
coffee may not buy the coffee. Note that this does not contradict the fact that
the customer was willing to pay up to £4.00 for a cup of coffee: he is willing
to pay £4.00 if the deal is fair, e.g. if Starbucks costs are £3.90; but, this
deal does not look fair and so is rejected.
This point was nicely illustrated
in a paper by Richard Thaler in Management Science *. In one well known example
people were asked to imagine they are lying on the beach on a hot day. A friend
offers to get a beer and asks you how much you are willing to pay. Some were
told the only place to buy a beer is a fancy resort hotel. Others were told
it’s at a small run-down grocery store. Thaler found that survey respondents
were willing to pay on average $2.65 to buy a beer from a ‘fancy resort hotel’,
but only $1.50 from ‘a small, run-down grocery store’. The basic willingness to buy beer is surely
the same in both cases. People just don’t want to be ripped off by the run-down
grocery store.
The key point here is that the
transaction between the customer and Starbucks becomes a bargaining problem
where fairness is likely to matter. Thaler suggested that we capture this by
distinguishing acquisition and transaction utility. Acquisition utility
captures the basic willingness to pay - £4.00 in the Starbucks example.
Transaction utility captures the pleasure or otherwise of buying the good, and
this is where fairness matters. If the customer feels he is being ripped off being
charged £3.90 for a coffee he may decide to do without coffee.
Starbucks, and any other firm,
therefore, has to strike a compromise between charging a high price and not
annoying the customer too much. That’s where tax avoidance comes in. Suppose,
Starbucks charge £3.50 for a cup of coffee and the customer is happy with that
deal. He then learns that Starbucks is paying no corporation tax. Suddenly,
£3.50 may not seem like such a ‘fair’ bargain; the customer may realise, for
instance, that Starbucks costs are not as high as he thought they were. This
sense of unfairness lowers his transaction utility from buying a coffee at
Starbucks. The customer is no longer willing to pay £3.50.
Starbucks has two choices at
this point: lower prices, or make £3.50 seem fair again. I would be surprised
if Starbucks lower prices. So, they need to make £3.50 seem fair. The offer to
pay taxes in the future is presumably an attempt to do that. Fairness, however,
is a difficult thing to earn. This was beautifully illustrate in a study by
Daniel Kahneman, Jack Knetsch and Richard Thaler published in 1986 in the
American Economic review **. They found some interesting distinctions between
behaviour customers consider fair and that they consider unfair. Our
understanding of such issues is, however, incomplete. For example, Kahneman,
Knetsch and Thaler found that respondents considered it fair for firms to pass
on higher costs in the form of higher prices. What happens if a firm like
Starbucks ‘passes on’ higher costs without actually incurring the higher cost?
We don’t know.
One
thing we do know is that any transaction involves an element of bargaining and
fairness. Economists have not really taken this issue seriously enough, but the
troubles at Starbucks remind us how important an issue it is.
* Richard Thaler (1985) ‘mental
accounting and consumer choice’ Marketing
Science.
** Daniel Kahneman, Jack Knetsch
and Richard Thaler (1986) ‘Fairness as a constraint on profit seeking:
Entitlement in the market’ American
Economic review.
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